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Pandemic alarmism exposes science’s deficiencies

Pandemic alarmism exposes science’s deficiencies

Health experts and politicians camouflage their failure by using the only weapon left in their arsenal - instilling fear

NORTHERN,  ONTARIO  ~~~~~~  April 8, 2021  (LSN)  We recently marked the anniversary of the COVID-19 confinements that were only supposed to last for only a few weeks.
In many ways, fear became the pandemic. Different people drive the COVID-19 fear, but its principal generators are statisticians and the medical bureaucrats – the experts ‘advising’ the politicians, who in turn display appearances of virtue, claiming to save lives.

In competing for our attention, the media are a gigantic amplifier of COVID-19 fear.

Along with lifesaving claims, Dr. Theresa Tam, Canada’s chief public health officer, has finally admitted to presiding over a massive failure in protecting the most vulnerable, who constitute the majority of the dead.

Camouflaging the failure, authorities confine and restrict us the more with the pretense of protecting us.

Yet the vulnerable keep dying and those with much lower risk are confined in domestic violence situations, forcibly unemployed, forced to forgo treatments for chronic illnesses, forced to watch their business crash and their savings vapourize.

It has taken a year for the public health officer Tam to admit failure, but she has manifested no desire to correct or reverse course.

Neither the admission of failure nor the absence of solutions (other than to hope for vaccination) have stopped the fear wagon that sent us here a year ago. Instead, in time for the anniversary, fresh alarmist calls give more horsepower to the wagon. Experts are calling for greater lockdowns, more restrictive and oppressive. And they are doing so in language that instils even more fear.

For what could be more frightful than a pandemic?

Two pandemics!

The week before the anniversary of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaring the COVID-19 pandemic, a medical bureaucrat in central Canada ominously heralded a brand new source of fear, stating on Feb. 8: “Today we are in a … transition to a new pandemic.” Eileen de Villa is Toronto’s medical officer of health and an adjunct at the University of Toronto. She was commenting on statistical modelling crafted at York University.

The model would have us believe that Toronto alone could see “15,865 deaths by May” if SARS-CoV-2, propelled by new variants, reached an infection rate of 20 per cent. For perspective, that would amount to over 75 per cent of all COVID-19-related deaths so far recorded in Canada.

Whatever the fantastic predictions of a model, the health officer of a single city, even if it is Toronto, has zero authority to declare a new pandemic. A pandemic is a global event, not an outbreak inside a city, a province or even a country. Toronto’s medical officer of health’s proclamation constitutes an exaggeration and an unseemly self-anointing with immense authority.

How do we take her seriously when she makes planet-size pronouncements?

It took only three days for a University of Toronto colleague to outdo the medical officer of health’s ridiculous fear-mongering declaration. Dr. Peter Juni, the science director of the Ontario COVID-19 Science Advisory Table, declared that the second pandemic had arrived.

Jurisdictionally, he has even less medical authority than the medical officer of health but that didn’t temper him from saying more outrageous and terrifying things. According to him, the arrival of a “new pandemic,” identified with B.1.1.7, the British strand, should be distinguished from “the traditional pandemic” that originated in Wuhan, China.

The absurd, puzzling and disorienting is also scary; his advisory table reported: “exponential growth” (as if viruses advance in any other way) driving a “third wave” of COVID-19 that Juni described in less than scientific terms as “a pandemic within a pandemic.” (Ironically, the expression appeared in September 2020 in the New England Journal of Medicine to describe the domestic abuse spiked by the lockdowns that he recommends.)

Peddling the fear of a second pandemic obscures the reality that B.1.1.7 advanced inside the second lockdown that has not even fully ended. Juni doesn’t wonder if lockdowns have failed. Instead, he calls for even “firmer” lockdowns, by which he means more draconian measures that he refers to as “the right thing.”

Ontario Premier Doug Ford says he “always respects” and will do what the medical experts say. But Juni offers comfort: “If this works out well with the vaccines … it will be the last time that we do that. There won’t be any more lockdowns.”

Who can maintain faith in lockdown promises and medical bureaucrats when we consider the abominable failure in protecting the most vulnerable during two separate viral waves, two rounds of harmful lockdowns and curfews that keep expanding and extending, the draconian arrests and fines, the incalculable hurt of unintended health, social and economic consequences, and the ongoing botched vaccination efforts?

Let’s now add, more than a year into it, the prideful flights of fancy of local bureaucrats declaring newer and scarier pandemics.

Marco Navarro-Génie is a senior fellow with the Frontier Centre for Public Policy and president of the Haultain Research Institute. He is co-author, with Barry Cooper, of COVID-19: The Politics of a Pandemic Moral Panic (2020).

Marco is one of our Thought Leaders


 

 

Marco Navarro-Genie

Marco Navarro-Genie

Marco's current areas of interests are higher education, immigration and labor, and energy and environment. An experienced public speaker, he often speaks at academic and professional conferences, government consultations and conventions.

Read more from the same author:

Northern Ontario 
Kenora, Rainy River, Dryden, Thunder Bay, Terrace Bay Marathon, Sault Ste Marie, Sudbury, North Bay, Ontario

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© Troy Media

Disclaimer
The views expressed in this opinion article are solely those of their author and are not necessarily either shared or endorsed by Lake Superior News / Lake Superior Media.

Troy Media Founded in 2005, Troy Media has grown to become Canada’s largest independent provider of original editorial features, opinions and analysis. Content sourced from Troy Media appears in dozens of newspapers, news sites, blogs and radio reports daily. Annual readership is estimated to be greater than 750 million.

 

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Follow the numbers for TBDHU Easter Month Long Lockdown

Population of Thunder Bay District (2016)  146,048
April 8th 1st stay of stay at home order for 28 days

Date New
Cases
Active
Cases 
Resolved 
Cases
Deceased Hospitalized ICU
Apr 3 26 183 2673 53 12 3
Apr 5   9 163 2701 54 14 4
Apr 6  1 149 2716 54 14 5
Apr 7 15 148 2732 54 10 4
Apr 8  3 104 2779 54 10 4
Apr 9 12 101 2793 55 12 5
Apr 10 13   98 2809 55 13 5
Apr 11 Not  Reported        
Apr 12 13 91 2829 55 14 5
Apr 13 9 87 2841 56 13 4
Apr 14 4 72 2860 56 11 4
Apr 15 4 61 2875 56 10 5
Apri16 8 57 2885 58 12 4
Apr 17 4 56 2890 58 9 3
    Not  reported  Today    
             
Apr 20 11 54 2909 60 7 2
             

 

Follow the Ontario numbers for Easter Month Long Lockdown

Ontario's 3rd lockdown start April 3 at 12.01 am. 
April 8th 1st stay of stay at home order for 28 days

Date Test Cases Date  Test  Cases  Date  Test  Cases 
April 1  62,300 2,557 Apr 16 64,300 4,812      
Apr 2 121,400 3,089 Apr 17  56,900 4,362      
Apr 3   3,009 Apr 18 53,800 4,250      
Apr 4   3,041 apr 19 42,900 4,447      
Apr 5    2,938 Apr 20 40,600 3,469      
Apr 6 37,500 3,065            
Apr 7 49,900 3,215            
Apr 8 63,800 3,295            
Apr 9 61,400 4,227            
Apr 10 61,400 3,813            
Apr 11 56,400 4,456            
apr 12 47,900 4,401            
Apr 13 42,200 3,670            
Apr 14  54,200 4,156            
Apr 15 65,600 4,736            

 

TBDHU goes into Grey Lockdown March 1st 12.01 am.

Population of Thunder Bay District (2016)  146,048

Date  New
Cases
Active
Cases 
Resolved
Cases 
Deceased  Hospitalized 
ICU
Feb 27   335 1218 30 23 7
Feb 28   343 1239 30 26 9
March 1 56 376 1262 30 29 9
March 2  40 374 1304 30 26 9
March 3  26 389 1314 31 29 10
March 4 61 397 1366 32 29 10
March 5 48 389 1422 32 27 8
March 6 40 386 1465 32 35 11
March 7 111 470 1492 32 37 11
March 8 30 462 1529 33 36 10
March 9  58 458 1589 35 29 9
March 10 46 414 1677 37 31 10
March 11 46 423 1714 37 35 9
March 12 82 435 1784 37 35 8
March 13 43 446 1816 37 36 9
March 14 40 437 1865 37 37 9
March 15 51 446 1906 38 44 7
March 16 35 403 1984 38 39 8
March 17 68 424 2030 39 38 8
March 18 40 406 2088 39 39 12
March 19 38 399 2133 39 44 15
March 20 32 379 2185 39 45 16
March 21 20 362 2222 39 35 12
March 22  9 325 2267 40 35 12
March 23 29 305 2316 40 31 7
March 24 25 286 2355 45 26 5
March 25 33 283 2390 46 28 5
March 26 20 259 2434 46 28 4
March 27 29 233 2488 47 20 3
March 28  21 216 2526 47 19 4
March 29 12 207 2547 47 19 4
March 30 25 199 2576 51 17 3
March 31 34 216 2592 52 18 3
April 1 23 210 2621 52 18 3
             
             
             
             

This is the total number of deaths among cases in which COVID-19 was determined to be a contributing or underlying cause of death

 

Number of Test and Number of Cases of COVID Ontario

Date Tests Cases Date Tests  Cases  Date Tests Cases
Feb 11 68,800 945 Mar 1 35,000 1,023 Mar 19 56,100 1,745
Feb 12 62,000 1,076 Mar 2  30,800 966 Mar 20 52,100 1,829
Feb 13 58,800 1,300 Mar 3 52,600 958 Mar 21 49,200 1,791
Feb 14 48,700 981 Mar 4 65,600 994 Mar 22 31,100 1,699
Feb 15 27,000 964 Mar 5  64,700 1,250 Mar 23 32,600 1,546

Feb 16

30,400 904 Mar 6 57,800 990 Mar 24 52,000 1,571
Feb 17 34,000 847 Mar 7 46,600 329 Mar 25 60,100 2,380
Feb 18 56,200 1,038 Mar 8 38,100 568 Mar 26 53,400 2,169
Feb 19 65,400 1,150 Mar 9  33,300 1,185 Mar 27 61,000 2,453
Feb 20 57,200 1,228 Mar 10 54,100 1,316 Mar 28  50,200 2,448
Feb 21 Not report Not Report Mar 11 60,600 1,092 Mar 29  39,500 2,094
Feb 22 31,200 1,058 Mar 12 64,600 1,371 Mar 30  36,100 2,336
Feb 23 26,000 975 Mar 13  58,400 1,468 Mar 31 52,500 2,333
Feb 24  54,900 1,054 Mar 14 47,600 1,747 April 1  62,300 2,557
Feb 25 66,400 1,138 Mar 15 34,000 1,268      
Feb 26 64,000 1,258 Mar 16 28,500 1,074       
Feb 27 59,400 1,185 Mar 17 49,100 1,508      
Feb 28 49,200 1,062 Mar 18 58,600 1,553      
                 

 

Covid and test During Ontario Lockdown

December 26th is day one of lockdown in Ontario 

Date Tests #Cases  Date Test Cases Date  Tests Cases
Dec 26   2,142 Jan 11     Jan 26 30,700 1,740
Dec 27   2,005 Jan 12     Jan 27 55,200 1,670
Dec 28   1,939 Jan 13     Jan 28 64,700 2,093
Dec 29   2,553 Jan 14     Jan 29 69,000 1,837
Dec 30 39,200 2,923 Jan 15     Jan 30 59,600 2,063
Dec 31   3,328 Jan16  73,900 3,056 Jan 31 49,400 1,848
Jan 1   2,476       Feb 1 30,400 1,969
Jan 2   3,363 Jan 17     Feb 2 28,600 745
Jan 3 49,800 2,964 Jan 18     Feb 3 52,400 1,172
Jan
4
    Jan 19     Feb 4 64,500 1,563
Jan 5 35,200 3,128 Jan 20     Feb 5  62,700 1,670
Jan 6     Jan 21 70,300 2,632 Feb 6 62,300 1,388
Jan 7     Jan 22 71,800 2,662 Feb 7 51,700 1,489
Jan 8     Jan 23 63,500 2,359 Feb 8  28,300 1,265

Jan 9

72,900 3,443 Jan 24  48,900 2,417 Feb 9 30,800 1,022
Jan 10     Jan 25 36,000 1,958 Feb 10 52,500 1,072

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